Prediction History (3712)

MarketEstimateMarket PriceEdgeConfidenceModelBrierStatusDate
LA LIGA Winner 45.0%0.0%+45.0%60.0%claude-sonnet-4-20250514PendingApr 5, 03:37 PM
Netanyahu out by...?45.0%39.5%+5.5%60.0%claude-sonnet-4-20250514PendingApr 5, 03:37 PM
US forces enter Iran by..?15.0%0.0%+15.0%40.0%claude-sonnet-4-20250514PendingApr 5, 03:37 PM
UEFA Champions League Winner 8.0%9.5%-1.5%40.0%claude-sonnet-4-20250514PendingApr 5, 03:37 PM
2026 NBA Champion3.0%37.5%-34.5%70.0%claude-sonnet-4-20250514PendingApr 5, 03:37 PM
English Premier League Winner 5.0%0.0%+5.0%30.0%claude-sonnet-4-20250514PendingApr 5, 03:37 PM
Presidential Election Winner 20280.5%0.5%0.0%95.0%claude-sonnet-4-20250514PendingApr 5, 03:37 PM
2026 FIFA World Cup Winner 6.0%15.8%-9.8%70.0%claude-sonnet-4-20250514PendingApr 5, 03:37 PM
Republican Presidential Nominee 20282.0%1.8%+0.3%30.0%claude-sonnet-4-20250514PendingApr 5, 03:37 PM
Democratic Presidential Nominee 20282.0%2.1%-0.1%30.0%claude-sonnet-4-20250514PendingApr 5, 03:37 PM
LA LIGA Winner 45.0%0.0%+45.0%60.0%claude-sonnet-4-20250514PendingApr 5, 03:31 PM
Netanyahu out by...?45.0%39.5%+5.5%60.0%claude-sonnet-4-20250514PendingApr 5, 03:31 PM
US forces enter Iran by..?15.0%0.0%+15.0%40.0%claude-sonnet-4-20250514PendingApr 5, 03:31 PM
UEFA Champions League Winner 8.0%9.5%-1.5%40.0%claude-sonnet-4-20250514PendingApr 5, 03:31 PM
2026 NBA Champion3.3%37.5%-34.2%70.0%claude-sonnet-4-20250514PendingApr 5, 03:31 PM
English Premier League Winner 5.0%0.0%+5.0%30.0%claude-sonnet-4-20250514PendingApr 5, 03:31 PM
Presidential Election Winner 20280.6%0.5%+0.1%30.0%claude-sonnet-4-20250514PendingApr 5, 03:31 PM
2026 FIFA World Cup Winner 6.0%15.8%-9.8%70.0%claude-sonnet-4-20250514PendingApr 5, 03:31 PM
Republican Presidential Nominee 20282.0%1.8%+0.3%30.0%claude-sonnet-4-20250514PendingApr 5, 03:31 PM
Democratic Presidential Nominee 20282.0%2.2%-0.2%30.0%claude-sonnet-4-20250514PendingApr 5, 03:31 PM
LA LIGA Winner 55.0%0.0%+55.0%70.0%claude-sonnet-4-20250514PendingApr 5, 03:25 PM
Netanyahu out by...?45.0%39.5%+5.5%60.0%claude-sonnet-4-20250514PendingApr 5, 03:25 PM
US forces enter Iran by..?15.0%0.0%+15.0%40.0%claude-sonnet-4-20250514PendingApr 5, 03:25 PM
UEFA Champions League Winner 8.0%9.5%-1.5%40.0%claude-sonnet-4-20250514PendingApr 5, 03:25 PM
2026 NBA Champion3.0%38.5%-35.5%70.0%claude-sonnet-4-20250514PendingApr 5, 03:25 PM