Prediction History (3712)

MarketEstimateMarket PriceEdgeConfidenceModelBrierStatusDate
Republican Presidential Nominee 20282.0%1.8%+0.3%30.0%claude-sonnet-4-20250514PendingMar 30, 08:41 AM
Democratic Presidential Nominee 20281.0%1.1%-0.1%30.0%claude-sonnet-4-20250514PendingMar 30, 08:41 AM
Netanyahu out by...?65.0%45.5%+19.5%60.0%claude-sonnet-4-20250514PendingMar 30, 08:35 AM
What price will Bitcoin hit in March?95.0%0.1%+95.0%85.0%claude-sonnet-4-20250514PendingMar 30, 08:35 AM
La Liga Winner 65.0%0.0%+65.0%75.0%claude-sonnet-4-20250514PendingMar 30, 08:35 AM
2026 NBA Champion10.0%36.5%-26.5%40.0%claude-sonnet-4-20250514PendingMar 30, 08:35 AM
UEFA Champions League Winner 6.0%10.5%-4.5%40.0%claude-sonnet-4-20250514PendingMar 30, 08:35 AM
English Premier League Winner 5.0%0.0%+5.0%30.0%claude-sonnet-4-20250514PendingMar 30, 08:35 AM
2026 FIFA World Cup Winner 6.0%15.8%-9.8%70.0%claude-sonnet-4-20250514PendingMar 30, 08:35 AM
Presidential Election Winner 20280.0%0.5%-0.5%90.0%claude-sonnet-4-20250514PendingMar 30, 08:35 AM
Republican Presidential Nominee 20282.0%1.8%+0.3%30.0%claude-sonnet-4-20250514PendingMar 30, 08:35 AM
Democratic Presidential Nominee 20281.0%1.1%-0.1%30.0%claude-sonnet-4-20250514PendingMar 30, 08:35 AM