Prediction History (5592)

MarketEstimateMarket PriceEdgeConfidenceModelBrierStatusDate
Republican Presidential Nominee 20282.0%1.7%+0.4%30.0%claude-sonnet-4-20250514PendingMar 30, 01:44 PM
Democratic Presidential Nominee 20281.0%1.1%-0.1%30.0%claude-sonnet-4-20250514PendingMar 30, 01:44 PM
Netanyahu out by...?55.0%43.5%+11.5%60.0%claude-sonnet-4-20250514PendingMar 30, 01:38 PM
What price will Bitcoin hit in March?95.0%0.1%+95.0%85.0%claude-sonnet-4-20250514PendingMar 30, 01:38 PM
La Liga Winner 65.0%0.0%+65.0%75.0%claude-sonnet-4-20250514PendingMar 30, 01:38 PM
2026 NBA Champion3.0%37.5%-34.5%70.0%claude-sonnet-4-20250514PendingMar 30, 01:38 PM
UEFA Champions League Winner 6.0%10.5%-4.5%40.0%claude-sonnet-4-20250514PendingMar 30, 01:38 PM
English Premier League Winner 5.0%0.0%+5.0%30.0%claude-sonnet-4-20250514PendingMar 30, 01:38 PM
2026 FIFA World Cup Winner 3.1%15.7%-12.6%70.0%claude-sonnet-4-20250514PendingMar 30, 01:38 PM
Presidential Election Winner 20280.0%0.5%-0.5%90.0%claude-sonnet-4-20250514PendingMar 30, 01:38 PM
Republican Presidential Nominee 20282.0%1.7%+0.3%30.0%claude-sonnet-4-20250514PendingMar 30, 01:38 PM
Democratic Presidential Nominee 20281.0%1.1%-0.1%30.0%claude-sonnet-4-20250514PendingMar 30, 01:38 PM
Netanyahu out by...?55.0%43.5%+11.5%60.0%claude-sonnet-4-20250514PendingMar 30, 01:32 PM
What price will Bitcoin hit in March?2.0%0.1%+1.9%30.0%claude-sonnet-4-20250514PendingMar 30, 01:32 PM
La Liga Winner 65.0%0.0%+65.0%75.0%claude-sonnet-4-20250514PendingMar 30, 01:32 PM
2026 NBA Champion10.0%37.5%-27.5%40.0%claude-sonnet-4-20250514PendingMar 30, 01:32 PM
UEFA Champions League Winner 6.0%10.5%-4.5%40.0%claude-sonnet-4-20250514PendingMar 30, 01:32 PM
English Premier League Winner 5.0%0.0%+5.0%30.0%claude-sonnet-4-20250514PendingMar 30, 01:32 PM
2026 FIFA World Cup Winner 3.1%15.7%-12.6%70.0%claude-sonnet-4-20250514PendingMar 30, 01:32 PM
Presidential Election Winner 20280.0%0.5%-0.5%90.0%claude-sonnet-4-20250514PendingMar 30, 01:32 PM
Republican Presidential Nominee 20282.0%1.7%+0.3%30.0%claude-sonnet-4-20250514PendingMar 30, 01:32 PM
Democratic Presidential Nominee 20281.0%1.1%-0.1%30.0%claude-sonnet-4-20250514PendingMar 30, 01:32 PM
Netanyahu out by...?55.0%43.5%+11.5%60.0%claude-sonnet-4-20250514PendingMar 30, 01:25 PM
What price will Bitcoin hit in March?95.0%0.1%+95.0%85.0%claude-sonnet-4-20250514PendingMar 30, 01:25 PM
La Liga Winner 65.0%0.0%+65.0%75.0%claude-sonnet-4-20250514PendingMar 30, 01:25 PM