Prediction History (5592)

MarketEstimateMarket PriceEdgeConfidenceModelBrierStatusDate
English Premier League Winner 5.0%0.0%+5.0%30.0%claude-sonnet-4-20250514PendingApr 5, 12:23 PM
Presidential Election Winner 20280.0%0.5%-0.5%90.0%claude-sonnet-4-20250514PendingApr 5, 12:23 PM
2026 FIFA World Cup Winner 3.1%15.8%-12.7%70.0%claude-sonnet-4-20250514PendingApr 5, 12:23 PM
Republican Presidential Nominee 20282.0%1.8%+0.3%30.0%claude-sonnet-4-20250514PendingApr 5, 12:23 PM
Democratic Presidential Nominee 20282.0%1.8%+0.2%30.0%claude-sonnet-4-20250514PendingApr 5, 12:23 PM
LA LIGA Winner 55.0%0.0%+55.0%70.0%claude-sonnet-4-20250514PendingApr 5, 12:17 PM
Netanyahu out by...?45.0%39.5%+5.5%60.0%claude-sonnet-4-20250514PendingApr 5, 12:17 PM
US forces enter Iran by..?5.0%0.0%+5.0%60.0%claude-sonnet-4-20250514PendingApr 5, 12:17 PM
UEFA Champions League Winner 9.0%9.5%-0.5%40.0%claude-sonnet-4-20250514PendingApr 5, 12:17 PM
2026 NBA Champion7.0%38.5%-31.5%60.0%claude-sonnet-4-20250514PendingApr 5, 12:17 PM
English Premier League Winner 5.0%0.0%+5.0%30.0%claude-sonnet-4-20250514PendingApr 5, 12:17 PM
Presidential Election Winner 20280.0%0.5%-0.5%90.0%claude-sonnet-4-20250514PendingApr 5, 12:17 PM
2026 FIFA World Cup Winner 3.1%15.8%-12.7%70.0%claude-sonnet-4-20250514PendingApr 5, 12:17 PM
Republican Presidential Nominee 20282.0%1.8%+0.3%30.0%claude-sonnet-4-20250514PendingApr 5, 12:17 PM
Democratic Presidential Nominee 20282.0%1.8%+0.1%30.0%claude-sonnet-4-20250514PendingApr 5, 12:17 PM
LA LIGA Winner 55.0%0.0%+55.0%70.0%claude-sonnet-4-20250514PendingApr 5, 12:11 PM
Netanyahu out by...?45.0%39.5%+5.5%60.0%claude-sonnet-4-20250514PendingApr 5, 12:11 PM
US forces enter Iran by..?5.0%0.0%+5.0%60.0%claude-sonnet-4-20250514PendingApr 5, 12:11 PM
UEFA Champions League Winner 8.0%9.5%-1.5%40.0%claude-sonnet-4-20250514PendingApr 5, 12:11 PM
2026 NBA Champion6.0%38.5%-32.5%70.0%claude-sonnet-4-20250514PendingApr 5, 12:11 PM
English Premier League Winner 5.0%0.0%+5.0%30.0%claude-sonnet-4-20250514PendingApr 5, 12:11 PM
Presidential Election Winner 20280.5%0.5%0.0%90.0%claude-sonnet-4-20250514PendingApr 5, 12:11 PM
2026 FIFA World Cup Winner 3.1%15.8%-12.8%70.0%claude-sonnet-4-20250514PendingApr 5, 12:11 PM
Republican Presidential Nominee 20282.0%1.8%+0.3%30.0%claude-sonnet-4-20250514PendingApr 5, 12:11 PM
Democratic Presidential Nominee 20282.0%1.9%+0.1%30.0%claude-sonnet-4-20250514PendingApr 5, 12:11 PM