Prediction History (5592)

MarketEstimateMarket PriceEdgeConfidenceModelBrierStatusDate
Netanyahu out by...?55.0%40.5%+14.5%60.0%claude-sonnet-4-20250514PendingMar 31, 11:35 PM
What price will Bitcoin hit in March?95.0%0.1%+95.0%85.0%claude-sonnet-4-20250514PendingMar 31, 11:35 PM
La Liga Winner 55.0%0.0%+55.0%70.0%claude-sonnet-4-20250514PendingMar 31, 11:35 PM
2026 NBA Champion3.0%37.5%-34.5%70.0%claude-sonnet-4-20250514PendingMar 31, 11:35 PM
UEFA Champions League Winner 6.0%10.5%-4.5%40.0%claude-sonnet-4-20250514PendingMar 31, 11:35 PM
English Premier League Winner 5.0%0.0%+5.0%30.0%claude-sonnet-4-20250514PendingMar 31, 11:35 PM
2026 FIFA World Cup Winner 6.0%16.2%-10.2%70.0%claude-sonnet-4-20250514PendingMar 31, 11:35 PM
Presidential Election Winner 20280.5%0.5%0.0%90.0%claude-sonnet-4-20250514PendingMar 31, 11:35 PM
Republican Presidential Nominee 20282.0%1.8%+0.3%30.0%claude-sonnet-4-20250514PendingMar 31, 11:35 PM
Democratic Presidential Nominee 20281.0%1.1%-0.1%30.0%claude-sonnet-4-20250514PendingMar 31, 11:35 PM
Netanyahu out by...?55.0%40.5%+14.5%60.0%claude-sonnet-4-20250514PendingMar 31, 11:28 PM
What price will Bitcoin hit in March?95.0%0.1%+95.0%85.0%claude-sonnet-4-20250514PendingMar 31, 11:28 PM
La Liga Winner 65.0%0.0%+65.0%75.0%claude-sonnet-4-20250514PendingMar 31, 11:28 PM
2026 NBA Champion10.0%37.5%-27.5%40.0%claude-sonnet-4-20250514PendingMar 31, 11:28 PM
UEFA Champions League Winner 6.0%10.5%-4.5%40.0%claude-sonnet-4-20250514PendingMar 31, 11:28 PM
English Premier League Winner 5.0%0.0%+5.0%30.0%claude-sonnet-4-20250514PendingMar 31, 11:28 PM
2026 FIFA World Cup Winner 6.0%16.2%-10.2%70.0%claude-sonnet-4-20250514PendingMar 31, 11:28 PM
Presidential Election Winner 20280.5%0.5%0.0%90.0%claude-sonnet-4-20250514PendingMar 31, 11:28 PM
Republican Presidential Nominee 20282.0%1.8%+0.3%30.0%claude-sonnet-4-20250514PendingMar 31, 11:28 PM
Democratic Presidential Nominee 20281.0%1.1%-0.1%30.0%claude-sonnet-4-20250514PendingMar 31, 11:28 PM
Netanyahu out by...?55.0%40.5%+14.5%60.0%claude-sonnet-4-20250514PendingMar 31, 11:22 PM
What price will Bitcoin hit in March?95.0%0.1%+95.0%85.0%claude-sonnet-4-20250514PendingMar 31, 11:22 PM
La Liga Winner 45.0%0.0%+45.0%60.0%claude-sonnet-4-20250514PendingMar 31, 11:22 PM
2026 NBA Champion10.0%37.5%-27.5%40.0%claude-sonnet-4-20250514PendingMar 31, 11:22 PM
UEFA Champions League Winner 6.0%10.5%-4.5%40.0%claude-sonnet-4-20250514PendingMar 31, 11:22 PM