Prediction History (3712)

MarketEstimateMarket PriceEdgeConfidenceModelBrierStatusDate
Republican Presidential Nominee 20282.0%1.7%+0.4%30.0%claude-sonnet-4-20250514PendingMar 30, 03:03 PM
Democratic Presidential Nominee 20281.0%1.1%-0.1%30.0%claude-sonnet-4-20250514PendingMar 30, 03:03 PM
Netanyahu out by...?55.0%43.5%+11.5%60.0%claude-sonnet-4-20250514PendingMar 30, 02:57 PM
What price will Bitcoin hit in March?95.0%0.1%+95.0%85.0%claude-sonnet-4-20250514PendingMar 30, 02:57 PM
La Liga Winner 65.0%0.0%+65.0%75.0%claude-sonnet-4-20250514PendingMar 30, 02:57 PM
2026 NBA Champion10.0%37.5%-27.5%40.0%claude-sonnet-4-20250514PendingMar 30, 02:57 PM
UEFA Champions League Winner 6.0%10.5%-4.5%40.0%claude-sonnet-4-20250514PendingMar 30, 02:57 PM
English Premier League Winner 5.0%0.0%+5.0%30.0%claude-sonnet-4-20250514PendingMar 30, 02:57 PM
2026 FIFA World Cup Winner 4.0%15.4%-11.5%70.0%claude-sonnet-4-20250514PendingMar 30, 02:57 PM
Presidential Election Winner 20280.5%0.5%0.0%90.0%claude-sonnet-4-20250514PendingMar 30, 02:57 PM
Republican Presidential Nominee 20282.0%1.7%+0.4%30.0%claude-sonnet-4-20250514PendingMar 30, 02:57 PM
Democratic Presidential Nominee 20281.0%1.1%-0.1%30.0%claude-sonnet-4-20250514PendingMar 30, 02:57 PM
Netanyahu out by...?55.0%43.5%+11.5%60.0%claude-sonnet-4-20250514PendingMar 30, 02:51 PM
What price will Bitcoin hit in March?95.0%0.1%+95.0%85.0%claude-sonnet-4-20250514PendingMar 30, 02:51 PM
La Liga Winner 65.0%0.0%+65.0%75.0%claude-sonnet-4-20250514PendingMar 30, 02:51 PM
2026 NBA Champion6.0%37.5%-31.5%70.0%claude-sonnet-4-20250514PendingMar 30, 02:51 PM
UEFA Champions League Winner 6.0%10.5%-4.5%40.0%claude-sonnet-4-20250514PendingMar 30, 02:51 PM
English Premier League Winner 5.0%0.0%+5.0%30.0%claude-sonnet-4-20250514PendingMar 30, 02:51 PM
2026 FIFA World Cup Winner 3.0%15.4%-12.4%70.0%claude-sonnet-4-20250514PendingMar 30, 02:51 PM
Presidential Election Winner 20280.5%0.5%0.0%90.0%claude-sonnet-4-20250514PendingMar 30, 02:51 PM
Republican Presidential Nominee 20282.0%1.7%+0.4%30.0%claude-sonnet-4-20250514PendingMar 30, 02:51 PM
Democratic Presidential Nominee 20281.0%1.1%-0.1%30.0%claude-sonnet-4-20250514PendingMar 30, 02:51 PM
Netanyahu out by...?55.0%43.5%+11.5%60.0%claude-sonnet-4-20250514PendingMar 30, 02:45 PM
What price will Bitcoin hit in March?95.0%0.1%+95.0%85.0%claude-sonnet-4-20250514PendingMar 30, 02:45 PM
La Liga Winner 65.0%0.0%+65.0%75.0%claude-sonnet-4-20250514PendingMar 30, 02:45 PM