Prediction History (3712)

MarketEstimateMarket PriceEdgeConfidenceModelBrierStatusDate
Republican Presidential Nominee 20282.0%1.7%+0.3%30.0%claude-sonnet-4-20250514PendingMar 30, 12:31 PM
Democratic Presidential Nominee 20281.0%1.1%-0.1%30.0%claude-sonnet-4-20250514PendingMar 30, 12:31 PM
Netanyahu out by...?65.0%45.5%+19.5%60.0%claude-sonnet-4-20250514PendingMar 30, 12:25 PM
What price will Bitcoin hit in March?2.0%0.1%+1.9%30.0%claude-sonnet-4-20250514PendingMar 30, 12:25 PM
La Liga Winner 45.0%0.0%+45.0%60.0%claude-sonnet-4-20250514PendingMar 30, 12:25 PM
2026 NBA Champion10.0%37.5%-27.5%40.0%claude-sonnet-4-20250514PendingMar 30, 12:25 PM
UEFA Champions League Winner 6.0%10.5%-4.5%40.0%claude-sonnet-4-20250514PendingMar 30, 12:25 PM
English Premier League Winner 5.0%0.0%+5.0%30.0%claude-sonnet-4-20250514PendingMar 30, 12:25 PM
2026 FIFA World Cup Winner 3.1%15.8%-12.7%70.0%claude-sonnet-4-20250514PendingMar 30, 12:25 PM
Presidential Election Winner 20280.5%0.5%0.0%90.0%claude-sonnet-4-20250514PendingMar 30, 12:25 PM
Republican Presidential Nominee 20282.0%1.7%+0.3%30.0%claude-sonnet-4-20250514PendingMar 30, 12:25 PM
Democratic Presidential Nominee 20281.0%1.1%-0.1%30.0%claude-sonnet-4-20250514PendingMar 30, 12:25 PM
Netanyahu out by...?65.0%45.5%+19.5%60.0%claude-sonnet-4-20250514PendingMar 30, 12:19 PM
What price will Bitcoin hit in March?95.0%0.1%+95.0%85.0%claude-sonnet-4-20250514PendingMar 30, 12:19 PM
La Liga Winner 65.0%0.0%+65.0%75.0%claude-sonnet-4-20250514PendingMar 30, 12:19 PM
2026 NBA Champion10.0%37.5%-27.5%40.0%claude-sonnet-4-20250514PendingMar 30, 12:19 PM
UEFA Champions League Winner 6.0%10.5%-4.5%40.0%claude-sonnet-4-20250514PendingMar 30, 12:19 PM
English Premier League Winner 5.0%0.0%+5.0%30.0%claude-sonnet-4-20250514PendingMar 30, 12:19 PM
2026 FIFA World Cup Winner 3.1%15.8%-12.7%70.0%claude-sonnet-4-20250514PendingMar 30, 12:19 PM
Presidential Election Winner 20280.0%0.5%-0.5%90.0%claude-sonnet-4-20250514PendingMar 30, 12:19 PM
Republican Presidential Nominee 20282.0%1.7%+0.3%30.0%claude-sonnet-4-20250514PendingMar 30, 12:19 PM
Democratic Presidential Nominee 20281.0%1.1%-0.1%30.0%claude-sonnet-4-20250514PendingMar 30, 12:19 PM
Netanyahu out by...?65.0%45.5%+19.5%60.0%claude-sonnet-4-20250514PendingMar 30, 12:13 PM
What price will Bitcoin hit in March?2.0%0.1%+1.9%30.0%claude-sonnet-4-20250514PendingMar 30, 12:13 PM
La Liga Winner 65.0%0.0%+65.0%75.0%claude-sonnet-4-20250514PendingMar 30, 12:13 PM