Prediction History (5592)

MarketEstimateMarket PriceEdgeConfidenceModelBrierStatusDate
2026 NBA Champion10.0%37.5%-27.5%40.0%claude-sonnet-4-20250514PendingMar 31, 02:11 PM
UEFA Champions League Winner 6.0%10.5%-4.5%40.0%claude-sonnet-4-20250514PendingMar 31, 02:11 PM
English Premier League Winner 5.0%0.0%+5.0%30.0%claude-sonnet-4-20250514PendingMar 31, 02:11 PM
2026 FIFA World Cup Winner 3.1%16.0%-12.8%70.0%claude-sonnet-4-20250514PendingMar 31, 02:11 PM
Presidential Election Winner 20280.5%0.5%0.0%90.0%claude-sonnet-4-20250514PendingMar 31, 02:11 PM
Republican Presidential Nominee 20282.0%1.7%+0.4%30.0%claude-sonnet-4-20250514PendingMar 31, 02:11 PM
Democratic Presidential Nominee 20281.0%1.1%-0.1%30.0%claude-sonnet-4-20250514PendingMar 31, 02:11 PM
English Premier League Winner 5.0%0.0%+5.0%30.0%claude-sonnet-4-20250514PendingMar 31, 02:05 PM
2026 FIFA World Cup Winner 6.0%15.9%-9.9%70.0%claude-sonnet-4-20250514PendingMar 31, 02:05 PM
Presidential Election Winner 20280.0%0.5%-0.5%90.0%claude-sonnet-4-20250514PendingMar 31, 02:05 PM
Republican Presidential Nominee 20282.0%1.7%+0.4%30.0%claude-sonnet-4-20250514PendingMar 31, 02:05 PM
Democratic Presidential Nominee 20281.0%1.1%-0.1%30.0%claude-sonnet-4-20250514PendingMar 31, 02:05 PM
Netanyahu out by...?55.0%41.5%+13.5%60.0%claude-sonnet-4-20250514PendingMar 31, 01:58 PM
What price will Bitcoin hit in March?95.0%0.1%+95.0%85.0%claude-sonnet-4-20250514PendingMar 31, 01:58 PM
La Liga Winner 65.0%0.0%+65.0%25.0%claude-sonnet-4-20250514PendingMar 31, 01:58 PM
2026 NBA Champion10.0%37.5%-27.5%40.0%claude-sonnet-4-20250514PendingMar 31, 01:58 PM
UEFA Champions League Winner 6.0%10.5%-4.5%40.0%claude-sonnet-4-20250514PendingMar 31, 01:58 PM
English Premier League Winner 5.0%0.0%+5.0%30.0%claude-sonnet-4-20250514PendingMar 31, 01:58 PM
2026 FIFA World Cup Winner 6.3%15.9%-9.7%70.0%claude-sonnet-4-20250514PendingMar 31, 01:58 PM
Presidential Election Winner 20280.0%0.5%-0.5%90.0%claude-sonnet-4-20250514PendingMar 31, 01:58 PM
Republican Presidential Nominee 20282.0%1.7%+0.4%30.0%claude-sonnet-4-20250514PendingMar 31, 01:58 PM
Democratic Presidential Nominee 20281.0%1.1%-0.1%30.0%claude-sonnet-4-20250514PendingMar 31, 01:58 PM
Netanyahu out by...?55.0%41.5%+13.5%60.0%claude-sonnet-4-20250514PendingMar 31, 01:51 PM
What price will Bitcoin hit in March?95.0%0.1%+95.0%85.0%claude-sonnet-4-20250514PendingMar 31, 01:51 PM
La Liga Winner 55.0%0.0%+55.0%70.0%claude-sonnet-4-20250514PendingMar 31, 01:51 PM