Prediction History (3712)

MarketEstimateMarket PriceEdgeConfidenceModelBrierStatusDate
LA LIGA Winner 55.0%0.0%+55.0%70.0%claude-sonnet-4-20250514PendingApr 6, 06:51 AM
Netanyahu out by...?45.0%39.5%+5.5%60.0%claude-sonnet-4-20250514PendingApr 6, 06:51 AM
US forces enter Iran by..?15.0%0.0%+15.0%40.0%claude-sonnet-4-20250514PendingApr 6, 06:51 AM
UEFA Champions League Winner 8.0%9.5%-1.5%40.0%claude-sonnet-4-20250514PendingApr 6, 06:51 AM
2026 NBA Champion3.3%38.5%-35.2%70.0%claude-sonnet-4-20250514PendingApr 6, 06:51 AM
English Premier League Winner 5.0%0.0%+5.0%30.0%claude-sonnet-4-20250514PendingApr 6, 06:51 AM
Presidential Election Winner 20280.0%0.5%-0.5%90.0%claude-sonnet-4-20250514PendingApr 6, 06:51 AM
2026 FIFA World Cup Winner 6.0%16.0%-10.0%70.0%claude-sonnet-4-20250514PendingApr 6, 06:51 AM
Republican Presidential Nominee 20282.0%1.7%+0.3%30.0%claude-sonnet-4-20250514PendingApr 6, 06:51 AM
Democratic Presidential Nominee 20282.0%1.9%+0.1%30.0%claude-sonnet-4-20250514PendingApr 6, 06:51 AM
LA LIGA Winner 55.0%0.0%+55.0%70.0%claude-sonnet-4-20250514PendingApr 6, 06:45 AM
Netanyahu out by...?45.0%39.5%+5.5%60.0%claude-sonnet-4-20250514PendingApr 6, 06:45 AM
US forces enter Iran by..?15.0%0.0%+15.0%40.0%claude-sonnet-4-20250514PendingApr 6, 06:45 AM
UEFA Champions League Winner 8.0%9.5%-1.5%40.0%claude-sonnet-4-20250514PendingApr 6, 06:45 AM
2026 NBA Champion3.0%38.5%-35.5%40.0%claude-sonnet-4-20250514PendingApr 6, 06:45 AM
English Premier League Winner 5.0%0.0%+5.0%30.0%claude-sonnet-4-20250514PendingApr 6, 06:45 AM
Presidential Election Winner 20280.0%0.5%-0.5%90.0%claude-sonnet-4-20250514PendingApr 6, 06:45 AM
2026 FIFA World Cup Winner 6.0%16.0%-10.0%70.0%claude-sonnet-4-20250514PendingApr 6, 06:45 AM
Republican Presidential Nominee 20282.0%1.7%+0.3%30.0%claude-sonnet-4-20250514PendingApr 6, 06:45 AM
Democratic Presidential Nominee 20282.0%1.9%+0.1%30.0%claude-sonnet-4-20250514PendingApr 6, 06:45 AM
LA LIGA Winner 55.0%0.0%+55.0%70.0%claude-sonnet-4-20250514PendingApr 6, 06:40 AM
Netanyahu out by...?45.0%39.5%+5.5%60.0%claude-sonnet-4-20250514PendingApr 6, 06:40 AM
US forces enter Iran by..?15.0%0.0%+15.0%40.0%claude-sonnet-4-20250514PendingApr 6, 06:40 AM
UEFA Champions League Winner 8.0%9.5%-1.5%40.0%claude-sonnet-4-20250514PendingApr 6, 06:40 AM
2026 NBA Champion3.3%38.5%-35.2%70.0%claude-sonnet-4-20250514PendingApr 6, 06:40 AM