Prediction History (3712)

MarketEstimateMarket PriceEdgeConfidenceModelBrierStatusDate
2026 NBA Champion10.0%36.5%-26.5%40.0%claude-sonnet-4-20250514PendingMar 30, 08:53 AM
UEFA Champions League Winner 6.0%10.5%-4.5%40.0%claude-sonnet-4-20250514PendingMar 30, 08:53 AM
English Premier League Winner 5.0%0.0%+5.0%30.0%claude-sonnet-4-20250514PendingMar 30, 08:53 AM
2026 FIFA World Cup Winner 3.1%15.8%-12.7%70.0%claude-sonnet-4-20250514PendingMar 30, 08:53 AM
Presidential Election Winner 20280.0%0.5%-0.5%90.0%claude-sonnet-4-20250514PendingMar 30, 08:53 AM
Republican Presidential Nominee 20282.0%1.8%+0.3%30.0%claude-sonnet-4-20250514PendingMar 30, 08:53 AM
Democratic Presidential Nominee 20281.0%1.1%-0.1%30.0%claude-sonnet-4-20250514PendingMar 30, 08:53 AM
Netanyahu out by...?65.0%45.5%+19.5%60.0%claude-sonnet-4-20250514PendingMar 30, 08:47 AM
What price will Bitcoin hit in March?95.0%0.1%+95.0%85.0%claude-sonnet-4-20250514PendingMar 30, 08:47 AM
La Liga Winner 65.0%0.0%+65.0%75.0%claude-sonnet-4-20250514PendingMar 30, 08:47 AM
2026 NBA Champion10.0%36.5%-26.5%40.0%claude-sonnet-4-20250514PendingMar 30, 08:47 AM
UEFA Champions League Winner 6.0%10.5%-4.5%40.0%claude-sonnet-4-20250514PendingMar 30, 08:47 AM
English Premier League Winner 5.0%0.0%+5.0%30.0%claude-sonnet-4-20250514PendingMar 30, 08:47 AM
2026 FIFA World Cup Winner 3.1%15.8%-12.7%70.0%claude-sonnet-4-20250514PendingMar 30, 08:47 AM
Presidential Election Winner 20280.0%0.5%-0.5%90.0%claude-sonnet-4-20250514PendingMar 30, 08:47 AM
Republican Presidential Nominee 20282.0%1.8%+0.3%30.0%claude-sonnet-4-20250514PendingMar 30, 08:47 AM
Democratic Presidential Nominee 20281.0%1.1%-0.1%30.0%claude-sonnet-4-20250514PendingMar 30, 08:47 AM
Netanyahu out by...?65.0%45.5%+19.5%60.0%claude-sonnet-4-20250514PendingMar 30, 08:41 AM
What price will Bitcoin hit in March?2.0%0.1%+1.9%30.0%claude-sonnet-4-20250514PendingMar 30, 08:41 AM
La Liga Winner 65.0%0.0%+65.0%75.0%claude-sonnet-4-20250514PendingMar 30, 08:41 AM
2026 NBA Champion3.3%36.5%-33.2%70.0%claude-sonnet-4-20250514PendingMar 30, 08:41 AM
UEFA Champions League Winner 6.0%10.5%-4.5%40.0%claude-sonnet-4-20250514PendingMar 30, 08:41 AM
English Premier League Winner 5.0%0.0%+5.0%30.0%claude-sonnet-4-20250514PendingMar 30, 08:41 AM
2026 FIFA World Cup Winner 3.0%15.8%-12.8%70.0%claude-sonnet-4-20250514PendingMar 30, 08:41 AM
Presidential Election Winner 20280.5%0.5%0.0%90.0%claude-sonnet-4-20250514PendingMar 30, 08:41 AM