Prediction History (5592)

MarketEstimateMarket PriceEdgeConfidenceModelBrierStatusDate
English Premier League Winner 5.0%0.0%+5.0%30.0%claude-sonnet-4-20250514PendingApr 5, 11:53 AM
Presidential Election Winner 20280.0%0.5%-0.5%90.0%claude-sonnet-4-20250514PendingApr 5, 11:53 AM
2026 FIFA World Cup Winner 3.1%15.8%-12.7%70.0%claude-sonnet-4-20250514PendingApr 5, 11:53 AM
Republican Presidential Nominee 20282.0%1.8%+0.3%30.0%claude-sonnet-4-20250514PendingApr 5, 11:53 AM
Democratic Presidential Nominee 20282.0%2.1%-0.1%30.0%claude-sonnet-4-20250514PendingApr 5, 11:53 AM
LA LIGA Winner 55.0%0.0%+55.0%70.0%claude-sonnet-4-20250514PendingApr 5, 11:47 AM
Netanyahu out by...?45.0%39.5%+5.5%60.0%claude-sonnet-4-20250514PendingApr 5, 11:47 AM
US forces enter Iran by..?5.0%0.0%+5.0%60.0%claude-sonnet-4-20250514PendingApr 5, 11:47 AM
UEFA Champions League Winner 9.0%9.5%-0.5%40.0%claude-sonnet-4-20250514PendingApr 5, 11:47 AM
2026 NBA Champion3.0%38.5%-35.5%70.0%claude-sonnet-4-20250514PendingApr 5, 11:47 AM
English Premier League Winner 5.0%0.0%+5.0%30.0%claude-sonnet-4-20250514PendingApr 5, 11:47 AM
Presidential Election Winner 20280.5%0.5%0.0%90.0%claude-sonnet-4-20250514PendingApr 5, 11:47 AM
2026 FIFA World Cup Winner 6.0%15.8%-9.8%70.0%claude-sonnet-4-20250514PendingApr 5, 11:47 AM
Republican Presidential Nominee 20282.0%1.8%+0.3%30.0%claude-sonnet-4-20250514PendingApr 5, 11:47 AM
Democratic Presidential Nominee 20282.5%2.5%0.0%30.0%claude-sonnet-4-20250514PendingApr 5, 11:47 AM
LA LIGA Winner 55.0%0.0%+55.0%70.0%claude-sonnet-4-20250514PendingApr 5, 11:41 AM
Netanyahu out by...?45.0%39.5%+5.5%60.0%claude-sonnet-4-20250514PendingApr 5, 11:41 AM
US forces enter Iran by..?15.0%0.0%+15.0%40.0%claude-sonnet-4-20250514PendingApr 5, 11:41 AM
UEFA Champions League Winner 9.0%9.5%-0.5%40.0%claude-sonnet-4-20250514PendingApr 5, 11:41 AM
2026 NBA Champion7.0%38.5%-31.5%60.0%claude-sonnet-4-20250514PendingApr 5, 11:41 AM
English Premier League Winner 5.0%0.0%+5.0%30.0%claude-sonnet-4-20250514PendingApr 5, 11:41 AM
Presidential Election Winner 20280.5%0.5%0.0%90.0%claude-sonnet-4-20250514PendingApr 5, 11:41 AM
2026 FIFA World Cup Winner 6.0%15.8%-9.8%70.0%claude-sonnet-4-20250514PendingApr 5, 11:41 AM
Republican Presidential Nominee 20282.0%1.8%+0.3%30.0%claude-sonnet-4-20250514PendingApr 5, 11:41 AM
Democratic Presidential Nominee 20282.5%2.5%0.0%30.0%claude-sonnet-4-20250514PendingApr 5, 11:41 AM