Prediction History (5592)

MarketEstimateMarket PriceEdgeConfidenceModelBrierStatusDate
LA LIGA Winner 55.0%0.0%+55.0%70.0%claude-sonnet-4-20250514PendingApr 5, 11:35 AM
Netanyahu out by...?45.0%39.5%+5.5%60.0%claude-sonnet-4-20250514PendingApr 5, 11:35 AM
US forces enter Iran by..?5.0%0.0%+5.0%60.0%claude-sonnet-4-20250514PendingApr 5, 11:35 AM
UEFA Champions League Winner 9.0%9.5%-0.5%40.0%claude-sonnet-4-20250514PendingApr 5, 11:35 AM
2026 NBA Champion6.0%38.5%-32.5%70.0%claude-sonnet-4-20250514PendingApr 5, 11:35 AM
English Premier League Winner 5.0%0.0%+5.0%30.0%claude-sonnet-4-20250514PendingApr 5, 11:35 AM
Presidential Election Winner 20280.0%0.5%-0.5%90.0%claude-sonnet-4-20250514PendingApr 5, 11:35 AM
2026 FIFA World Cup Winner 6.0%15.8%-9.8%70.0%claude-sonnet-4-20250514PendingApr 5, 11:35 AM
Republican Presidential Nominee 20282.0%1.8%+0.3%30.0%claude-sonnet-4-20250514PendingApr 5, 11:35 AM
Democratic Presidential Nominee 20282.5%2.5%0.0%30.0%claude-sonnet-4-20250514PendingApr 5, 11:35 AM
LA LIGA Winner 55.0%0.0%+55.0%70.0%claude-sonnet-4-20250514PendingApr 5, 11:32 AM
Netanyahu out by...?45.0%39.5%+5.5%60.0%claude-sonnet-4-20250514PendingApr 5, 11:32 AM
US forces enter Iran by..?5.0%0.0%+5.0%60.0%claude-sonnet-4-20250514PendingApr 5, 11:32 AM
UEFA Champions League Winner 9.0%9.5%-0.5%40.0%claude-sonnet-4-20250514PendingApr 5, 11:32 AM
2026 NBA Champion6.0%38.5%-32.5%70.0%claude-sonnet-4-20250514PendingApr 5, 11:32 AM
English Premier League Winner 5.0%0.0%+5.0%30.0%claude-sonnet-4-20250514PendingApr 5, 11:32 AM
Presidential Election Winner 20280.0%0.5%-0.5%90.0%claude-sonnet-4-20250514PendingApr 5, 11:32 AM
2026 FIFA World Cup Winner 3.1%15.8%-12.7%70.0%claude-sonnet-4-20250514PendingApr 5, 11:32 AM
Republican Presidential Nominee 20282.0%1.8%+0.3%30.0%claude-sonnet-4-20250514PendingApr 5, 11:32 AM
Democratic Presidential Nominee 20282.5%2.5%0.0%30.0%claude-sonnet-4-20250514PendingApr 5, 11:32 AM
Netanyahu out by...?55.0%40.5%+14.5%60.0%claude-sonnet-4-20250514PendingMar 31, 11:55 PM
What price will Bitcoin hit in March?95.0%0.1%+95.0%85.0%claude-sonnet-4-20250514PendingMar 31, 11:55 PM
La Liga Winner 65.0%0.0%+65.0%75.0%claude-sonnet-4-20250514PendingMar 31, 11:55 PM
2026 NBA Champion3.0%37.5%-34.5%70.0%claude-sonnet-4-20250514PendingMar 31, 11:55 PM
UEFA Champions League Winner 6.0%10.5%-4.5%40.0%claude-sonnet-4-20250514PendingMar 31, 11:55 PM