Prediction History (3712)

MarketEstimateMarket PriceEdgeConfidenceModelBrierStatusDate
English Premier League Winner 5.0%0.0%+5.0%30.0%claude-sonnet-4-20250514PendingApr 5, 08:37 PM
Presidential Election Winner 20280.0%0.5%-0.5%90.0%claude-sonnet-4-20250514PendingApr 5, 08:37 PM
2026 FIFA World Cup Winner 6.0%16.0%-10.0%70.0%claude-sonnet-4-20250514PendingApr 5, 08:37 PM
Republican Presidential Nominee 20282.0%1.7%+0.4%30.0%claude-sonnet-4-20250514PendingApr 5, 08:37 PM
Democratic Presidential Nominee 20282.0%1.6%+0.4%30.0%claude-sonnet-4-20250514PendingApr 5, 08:37 PM
LA LIGA Winner 55.0%0.0%+55.0%70.0%claude-sonnet-4-20250514PendingApr 5, 08:32 PM
Netanyahu out by...?45.0%39.5%+5.5%60.0%claude-sonnet-4-20250514PendingApr 5, 08:32 PM
US forces enter Iran by..?15.0%0.0%+15.0%40.0%claude-sonnet-4-20250514PendingApr 5, 08:32 PM
UEFA Champions League Winner 9.5%9.5%0.0%30.0%claude-sonnet-4-20250514PendingApr 5, 08:32 PM
2026 NBA Champion3.3%38.5%-35.2%70.0%claude-sonnet-4-20250514PendingApr 5, 08:32 PM
English Premier League Winner 5.0%0.0%+5.0%30.0%claude-sonnet-4-20250514PendingApr 5, 08:32 PM
Presidential Election Winner 20280.0%0.5%-0.5%90.0%claude-sonnet-4-20250514PendingApr 5, 08:32 PM
2026 FIFA World Cup Winner 6.0%16.0%-10.0%40.0%claude-sonnet-4-20250514PendingApr 5, 08:32 PM
Republican Presidential Nominee 20282.0%1.7%+0.4%30.0%claude-sonnet-4-20250514PendingApr 5, 08:32 PM
Democratic Presidential Nominee 20282.0%1.6%+0.4%30.0%claude-sonnet-4-20250514PendingApr 5, 08:32 PM
LA LIGA Winner 45.0%0.0%+45.0%60.0%claude-sonnet-4-20250514PendingApr 5, 08:26 PM
Netanyahu out by...?45.0%39.5%+5.5%60.0%claude-sonnet-4-20250514PendingApr 5, 08:26 PM
US forces enter Iran by..?15.0%0.0%+15.0%40.0%claude-sonnet-4-20250514PendingApr 5, 08:26 PM
UEFA Champions League Winner 9.5%9.5%0.0%30.0%claude-sonnet-4-20250514PendingApr 5, 08:26 PM
2026 NBA Champion3.3%38.5%-35.2%70.0%claude-sonnet-4-20250514PendingApr 5, 08:26 PM
English Premier League Winner 5.0%0.0%+5.0%30.0%claude-sonnet-4-20250514PendingApr 5, 08:26 PM
Presidential Election Winner 20280.0%0.5%-0.5%90.0%claude-sonnet-4-20250514PendingApr 5, 08:26 PM
2026 FIFA World Cup Winner 6.0%16.0%-10.0%70.0%claude-sonnet-4-20250514PendingApr 5, 08:26 PM
Republican Presidential Nominee 20282.0%1.7%+0.4%30.0%claude-sonnet-4-20250514PendingApr 5, 08:26 PM
Democratic Presidential Nominee 20282.0%1.6%+0.4%30.0%claude-sonnet-4-20250514PendingApr 5, 08:26 PM